广州二手楼市2013前高后低 2014放量机会不大

——2013年合富标准二手住宅价格指数分析报告

鹤山楼市猪事丁  2014-01-21 10:46

[摘要] 2013年年底这种交投不旺，观望较浓厚、价格高位企稳的态势仍将持续一段时间，由目前情况看，2014年二手住宅交投大幅放量的可能性不高。预计大致恢复到较正常、平稳水平，即2014年的季度平均成交量大约与2013年第二、三季度相当。

 

四、买家实力强劲，一次性付款套均总价明显上升

受下半年房贷收紧影响，2013年二手楼市一次性付款比例有所上升，由2012年的不足三成，上升至三成四。一次性付款套均总价以及总体套均总价均呈稳步上涨的趋势。

据合富置业数据显示，2013年广州二手楼市一次性付款的占比为33.9%，较2012年有所上升，主要是下半年房贷收紧，其中11、12月份甚至超过四成买家选择一次性付款。由区域看，天河、海珠、越秀、荔湾等“旧四区”的全年一次性比例均超过四成。

由总体套均总价以及一次性付款的套均总价看，基本呈稳步走高的态势，其中一次性付款的套均总价甚至一举突破200万/套的大关，较以往明显上升，显示了二手买家较为强劲的经济实力。由区域看，天河区总体二手住宅的套均接近300万/套，其中一次性付款交易的套均总价高达371万/套。

购房总价的走高，与楼价实质性上涨、中高端买家活跃度提升以及大面积、贵价盘成交增多等因素有关，也侧面反映了买家的价格认可度有所提高。实力买家增多，也是支撑二手楼价居高不下的重要原因。

广州二手住宅一次性付款比例、套均总价

2012年、2013年广州各区域二手住宅一次性付款情况

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